Orlando City IIvs
Atlanta United II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlanta United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orlando City II 2-4 Atlanta United II
Original prediction
Atlanta United II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.4% | 36.0% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.3% | 19.2% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.3% | 44.8% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Atlanta United II
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Atlanta United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60