Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orkla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orkla 3-1 NTNUI
Original prediction
Orkla
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.4% | 45.5% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.6% | 18.3% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.0% | 36.2% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
Orkla
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Orkla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OrklaDLLLL
GF 11 · GA 22 · avg 2.20/4.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
NTNUIWLDLD
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
OrklaNTNUI
62.7Attack43.1
2.0Defence31.4
29.4Form35.3
33.6Power39.5
2.92xG2.44