Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4
Orkla are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Molde II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde II hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (34.6 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Molde II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 96% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde II
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
6.8%
Molde II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40