Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Byåsen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3
Orkla are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Byåsen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Byåsen hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (34.6 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.1% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Byåsen holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Byåsen
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
6.1%
Byåsen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80