Orklavs
Aalesund II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orkla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-3 (6%), 3-3 (6%), 4-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orkla 2-2 Aalesund II
Original prediction
Orkla
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.2% | 46.5% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.0% | 18.3% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 37.8% | 35.2% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–36%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.4–26%
Predicted outcome
Orkla
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Orkla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OrklaDWDLL
GF 13 · GA 19 · avg 2.60/3.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Aalesund IIWLLWL
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
OrklaAalesund II
64.9Attack63.0
7.0Defence7.4
33.3Form35.2
37.0Power36.9
4.14xG3.45