GGOALVIO

Croatia · Cup · 9/9/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orijent 1919 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Orijent 1919 2-2 Mladost Ždralovi

Original prediction

Orijent 1919

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2939.3%47.4%8.2 pts
Draw3.1228.9%25.3%-3.6 pts
Away2.8331.9%27.3%-4.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.3–18%
  3. 3.1–17%

Predicted outcome

Orijent 1919

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Orijent 1919 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orijent 1919DDWWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mladost ŽdraloviDWWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Orijent 1919Mladost Ždralovi
100.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
88.7Power23.7
2.73xG1.46
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