GGOALVIO

Croatia · First NL · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orijent 1919 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Orijent 1919 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb, with an exact score probability of 23%.

Prediction record

Final result

Orijent 1919 2-1 Dubrava Zagreb

Original prediction

Orijent 1919

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8449.4%37.9%-11.5 pts
Draw3.4626.2%31.6%5.4 pts
Away3.7124.4%30.6%6.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-11.5 pts

Projected Score

Orijent 1919 0–0 Dubrava Zagreb

Exact score probability: 23%

Predicted outcome

Orijent 1919

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Orijent 1919 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orijent 1919LLWLD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Dubrava ZagrebLWDWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Orijent 1919Dubrava Zagreb
28.6Attack28.6
61.9Defence66.7
38.1Form38.1
44.2Power47.4
0.79xG0.74
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