Orijent 1919vs
Croatia Zmijavci
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orijent 1919 1-1 Croatia Zmijavci
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.0% | 36.2% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.89 | 31.3% | 30.5% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 24.8% | 33.3% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.89 · Draw 1.89 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.5%
Model confidence
36.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Orijent 1919DWWLW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Croatia ZmijavciWWWWW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Orijent 1919Croatia Zmijavci
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.02xG1.10