Orihuelavs
Valencia II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 10/24/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orihuela · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orihuela 1-1 Valencia II
Original prediction
Orihuela
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.7% | 37.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.0% | 28.8% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.3% | 33.4% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Orihuela
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Orihuela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00