Oriente Petrolerovs
Universitario de Vinto
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 10/8/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oriente Petrolero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oriente Petrolero 2-0 Universitario de Vinto
Original prediction
Oriente Petrolero
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.5% | 51.8% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.6% | 22.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 5.03 | 17.9% | 25.4% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Oriente Petrolero
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Oriente Petrolero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20