GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/8/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tacuary · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Oriente Petrolero are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tacuary are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tacuary hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (16.6 v 29.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Tacuary holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tacuary

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Tacuary has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oriente PetroleroWLLDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TacuaryLWLLD

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Oriente PetroleroTacuary
14.3Attack47.6
4.8Defence0.0
14.3Form33.3
16.6Power29.3
1.21xG1.71
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