GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/26/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Bragantino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Oriente Petrolero are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while RB Bragantino are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and RB Bragantino hold a 41.4-point power-rating edge (16.6 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while RB Bragantino holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RB Bragantino

Probability

68.4%

Model confidence

68.4%

RB Bragantino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oriente PetroleroDLDLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RB BragantinoWDDDD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Oriente PetroleroRB Bragantino
14.3Attack48.1
4.8Defence77.8
14.3Form51.9
16.6Power58.0
0.46xG1.89
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