Oriente Petrolerovs
Nacional Potosí
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 10/22/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional Potosí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oriente Petrolero 3-2 Nacional Potosí
Original prediction
Nacional Potosí
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 October 2026 at 01:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 47.7% | 30.4% | -17.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.0% | 24.8% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 26.3% | 44.8% | 18.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Nacional Potosí
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Nacional Potosí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20