Oriente Petrolerovs
Guabirá
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 9/9/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guabirá · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oriente Petrolero 1-0 Guabirá
Original prediction
Guabirá
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.3% | 33.1% | -21.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.3% | 25.3% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.04 | 22.4% | 41.6% | 19.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Guabirá
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Guabirá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20