GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/5/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Oriente Petrolero are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Estudiantes L.P. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes L.P. hold a 58.0-point power-rating edge (16.6 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Estudiantes L.P. holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estudiantes L.P.

Probability

84.0%

Model confidence

84.0%

Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oriente PetroleroDWLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Estudiantes L.P.WLWLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Oriente PetroleroEstudiantes L.P.
14.3Attack69.4
4.8Defence88.9
14.3Form72.2
16.6Power74.6
0.41xG2.83
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