GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 10/10/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oriente Petrolero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Oriente Petrolero 1-0 ABB

Original prediction

Oriente Petrolero

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2970.3%69.3%-1.0 pts
Draw5.2617.3%16.4%-0.9 pts
Away7.3612.3%14.3%1.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–19%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.3–07%

Predicted outcome

Oriente Petrolero

Probability

69.3%

Model confidence

69.3%

Oriente Petrolero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oriente PetroleroWLDLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ABBLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Oriente PetroleroABB
60.0Attack51.7
55.0Defence25.0
50.0Form33.3
55.1Power38.5
3.06xG1.23
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