Orientalvs
Uruguay Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oriental · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Oriental 1-0 Uruguay Montevideo, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Oriental 1-1 Uruguay Montevideo
Original prediction
Oriental
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.0% | 55.4% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.9% | 26.5% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 23.1% | 18.1% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Projected Score
Oriental 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Oriental
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Oriental has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OrientalLDWWD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Uruguay MontevideoLLLLD
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OrientalUruguay Montevideo
43.7Attack32.1
64.4Defence53.6
51.7Form31.0
55.0Power41.2
1.36xG0.60