OrientalvsTacuarembo

Oriental are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tacuarembo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Oriental hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.1% in the Segunda División, while Oriental holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.