Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Oriental are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rentistas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.1 against 52.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20