Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oriental · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Oriental are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Paysandu are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Oriental hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the Segunda División, while Oriental holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oriental
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
16.3%
Oriental has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00