Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Oriental 0-0 Fenix, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Oriental 3-2 Fenix
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 31.7% | 35.6% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.84 | 31.8% | 31.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.5% | 33.1% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Projected Score
Oriental 0–0 Fenix
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.3%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OrientalWDLWL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FenixLDWLD
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
OrientalFenix
43.6Attack47.4
66.7Defence64.1
52.6Form51.3
55.9Power55.7
1.01xG0.86