Segunda DivisiónSegunda División
Sunday, 28 June 2026Last updated 10:00
Oriental

Oriental

Home
DL
11
Full time
Colón

Colón

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Oriental(45%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Oriental
45%
Draw
29%
Colón
26%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Oriental
34
Colón
34
Defence
Oriental
46
Colón
66
Momentum
Oriental
17
Colón
33
Danger (xG)
Oriental
0.90
Colón
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Oriental)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Colón)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Oriental)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Colón)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
OrientalOriental
DLD
ColónColón
DL

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Oriental45%
Draw29%
Colón26%

Oriental leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Oriental head into this in Segunda División fixture in mixed form (DL), while Colón arrive in mixed form (D). Oriental have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Colón over 1 games.

The model rates Oriental's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 Colón defence, and Colón's attack at 34/100 against a 46/100 Oriental backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Oriental have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match. Colón have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Oriental to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Oriental 4520%, Draw 2920%, Colón 2560%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Oriental 0Draws 10 Colón
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
28 Jun 2026
Oriental
D11
Colón

Recent form

Oriental

Oriental

D
@ Uruguay Montevideo
12 Jul 2026
11
L
vs CA River Plate
5 Jul 2026
12
D
vs Colón
28 Jun 2026
11
Colón

Colón

D
@ Oriental
28 Jun 2026
11
L
vs Plaza Colonia
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Oriental vs Colón?

GoalVio's model predicts Oriental to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Oriental vs Colón?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Oriental vs Colón?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Oriental vs Colón?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more