Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
15%
MediumconfidenceOriental are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atenas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 53.8 against 52.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Segunda División, favouring a draw with 14.5% confidence, a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.1%
Model confidence
14.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OrientalLWDLD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AtenasWLLDW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
OrientalAtenas
43.9Attack50.0
63.2Defence55.6
49.1Form48.1
53.8Power52.0
1.26xG1.00