Oriental U19vs
Casa Pia U19
COMPLETEDPortugal · Júniores U19 · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oriental U19 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oriental U19 1-0 Casa Pia U19
Original prediction
Oriental U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.06 | 29.3% | 35.9% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.4% | 29.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.3% | 34.8% | -8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Oriental U19
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Oriental U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20