Oriental Lisboavs
Moncarapachense
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · 8/20/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moncarapachense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Oriental Lisboa are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.50 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Moncarapachense are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Moncarapachense hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D, while Moncarapachense holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moncarapachense
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Moncarapachense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/4.00
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00