GGOALVIO

Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · 8/20/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moncarapachense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Oriental Lisboa are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.50 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Moncarapachense are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Moncarapachense hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D, while Moncarapachense holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moncarapachense

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

Moncarapachense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oriental LisboaDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/4.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
MoncarapachenseD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Oriental LisboaMoncarapachense
39.7Attack37.2
38.5Defence78.2
37.2Form62.8
40.8Power61.2
0.60xG1.33
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