Orgryte ISvs
Sirius
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 9/19/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sirius · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (10%), 1-3 (9%), 0-4 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orgryte IS 1-2 Sirius
Original prediction
Sirius
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.48 | 16.8% | 8.8% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.44 | 20.8% | 12.4% | -8.4 pts |
| Away | 1.48 | 62.4% | 78.8% | 16.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–310%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–49%
Predicted outcome
Sirius
Probability
78.8%
Model confidence
78.8%
Sirius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Orgryte ISLDLWD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SiriusWWLWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Orgryte ISSirius
38.1Attack79.4
25.4Defence57.1
23.8Form76.2
31.2Power71.6
0.93xG3.67