Orgryte ISvs
Hammarby FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hammarby FF · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-4 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orgryte IS 1-1 Hammarby FF
Original prediction
Hammarby FF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.94 | 8.5% | 5.5% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.63 | 14.1% | 10.4% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.21 | 77.4% | 84.2% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–312%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.0–411%
Predicted outcome
Hammarby FF
Probability
84.2%
Model confidence
84.2%
Hammarby FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80