Orgryte ISvs
Gais
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/18/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gais · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 0-2 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orgryte IS 4-2 Gais
Original prediction
Gais
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.04 | 18.4% | 14.5% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.9% | 21.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 58.6% | 64.1% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.0–214%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Gais
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
Gais has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Orgryte ISLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GaisLWLDW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Orgryte ISGais
36.2Attack40.6
24.6Defence69.6
21.7Form43.5
29.8Power51.2
0.67xG1.78