AllsvenskanAllsvenskan
Monday, 20 July 2026Last updated 17:32
Orgryte IS

Orgryte IS

Home
WL
00
Full time
Djurgardens IF

Djurgardens IF

Away
WW
Gamla Ullevi
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Draw(26%)
Prediction correct— Result: Draw
Win probability
Orgryte IS
31%
Draw
26%
Djurgardens IF
44%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Orgryte IS
73
Djurgardens IF
97
Defence
Orgryte IS
6
Djurgardens IF
66
Momentum
Orgryte IS
50
Djurgardens IF
100
Danger (xG)
Orgryte IS
0.00
Djurgardens IF
1.35
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.58 xG for Orgryte IS and 2.01 xG for Djurgardens IF — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.43), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Orgryte IS's Attack Score (73) exceeds Djurgardens IF's Defensive Stability (66), and Djurgardens IF's attack (97) similarly tests Orgryte IS's defence (6). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.59 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Orgryte IS's Attack Score (73) vs Djurgardens IF's Defensive Stability (66) and Djurgardens IF's attack (97) vs Orgryte IS's defence (6) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (Orgryte IS)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Djurgardens IF)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Orgryte IS)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Djurgardens IF)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Orgryte ISOrgryte IS
WLL
Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF
WWL

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Orgryte IS31%
Draw26%
Djurgardens IF44%

Djurgardens IF leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Djurgardens IF Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2

Orgryte IS host Djurgardens IF in Allsvenskan. Orgryte IS have recorded DLLWDL in recent matches while Djurgardens IF arrive with a run of LDWWDW. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.01 expected goals for Djurgardens IF against 1.58 for Orgryte IS — a marginal but consistent advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🔒 Defensive Stability Djurgardens IF have kept 4 clean sheet(s) in 10 recent matches — a defensive record that gives them a meaningful edge in this fixture. Defensive solidity is one of the strongest predictors of match outcomes at this level.
: 📈 Recent Form Djurgardens IF arrive in better recent form — 3 wins from 10 matches (LDWWDW) against Orgryte IS's 1. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.

Why GoalVio backs this

Djurgardens IF are generating a consistent xG advantage — 2.01 projected against 1.58 for Orgryte IS. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.43 is the clearest signal in the model that Djurgardens IF are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Djurgardens IF are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Orgryte IS

Orgryte IS

W
vs BK Hacken
11 Jul 2026
43
xG 0.0
L
@ Kalmar FF
5 Jul 2026
03
xG 0.0
L
@ Sirius
11 May 2026
02
Djurgardens IF

Djurgardens IF

W
vs Halmstad
13 Jul 2026
30
W
@ BK Hacken
6 Jul 2026
42
xG 0.0
L
vs IF Brommapojkarna
22 May 2026
12
xG 0.0

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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