GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/3/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orgryte IS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Orgryte IS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while AFC Eskilstuna are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Orgryte IS hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Superettan, while Orgryte IS holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orgryte IS

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Orgryte IS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orgryte ISLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AFC EskilstunaWWLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Orgryte ISAFC Eskilstuna
36.5Attack31.1
51.0Defence53.3
39.6Form34.4
44.9Power41.7
1.11xG0.83
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