Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orense SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Orense SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Manta FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Orense SC hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 35.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.9% in the Liga Pro, while Orense SC holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orense SC
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
18.9%
Orense SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20