Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Orense SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Libertad are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00