Liga ProLiga Pro
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Orense SC

Orense SC

Home
LLL
23
Full time
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

Away
WW
Estadio 9 de Mayo
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Independiente del Valle(47%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Orense SC
27%
Draw
26%
Independiente del Valle
47%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Orense SC
14
Independiente del Valle
97
Defence
Orense SC
17
Independiente del Valle
91
Momentum
Orense SC
0
Independiente del Valle
100
Danger (xG)
Orense SC
0.30
Independiente del Valle
3.15
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Orense SC)
0.30
avg per match
xG for (Independiente del Valle)
3.15
avg per match
xG against (Orense SC)
2.10
avg per match
xG against (Independiente del Valle)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Orense SCOrense SC
LLL
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
WWWWW

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Orense SC27%
Draw26%
Independiente del Valle47%

Independiente del Valle leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Orense SC head into this in Liga Pro fixture at Estadio 9 de Mayo struggling for consistency (LLL), while Independiente del Valle arrive in decent form (WW). Orense SC have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 100% for Independiente del Valle over 2 games.

Tactically, Independiente del Valle hold the edge. Their elite attack (97/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Orense SC defence (17/100), while Orense SC's attack faces a watertight Independiente del Valle backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Orense SC have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Independiente del Valle have been excellent on the road, winning all 4 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Orense SC and Independiente del Valle in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Independiente del Valle to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Orense SC 2745%, Draw 2580%, Independiente del Valle 4675%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Orense SC

Orense SC

L
vs Emelec
17 Jul 2026
02
L
vs Tecnico Universitario
7 Jul 2026
12
L
@ LDU de Quito
1 Jul 2026
03
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

W
@ Aucas
16 Jul 2026
30
W
@ Santo Domingo
8 Jul 2026
20
W
vs Manta FC
4 Jul 2026
40
W
@ Macara
16 May 2026
30
W
@ Universidad Catolica
13 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle?

GoalVio's model predicts Independiente del Valle to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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