Orense SCvs
Guayaquil City FC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 9/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orense SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Orense SC 0-0 Guayaquil City FC, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Orense SC 4-3 Guayaquil City FC
Original prediction
Orense SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.6% | 36.8% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.6% | 30.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.68 | 24.8% | 32.9% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Projected Score
Orense SC 0–0 Guayaquil City FC
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Orense SC
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Orense SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Orense SCLLLWD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guayaquil City FCLWWDD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Orense SCGuayaquil City FC
36.9Attack32.1
50.0Defence63.1
35.7Form42.9
43.2Power48.7
0.86xG0.89