Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Orense SC are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Emelec are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.5 against 44.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67