Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orense SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Orense SC 0-0 Delfin SC, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Orense SC 4-0 Delfin SC
Original prediction
Orense SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.7% | 40.9% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.4% | 30.6% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.79 | 24.0% | 28.5% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Projected Score
Orense SC 0–0 Delfin SC
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Orense SC
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Orense SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Orense SCDDLLW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Delfin SCWWDWD
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Orense SCDelfin SC
38.4Attack27.3
49.5Defence63.6
35.4Form35.4
43.4Power44.7
0.89xG0.76