Orenburg IIvs
Ural II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 4 · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orenburg II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orenburg II 1-1 Ural II
Original prediction
Orenburg II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 47.1% | 44.5% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.8% | 26.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 27.1% | 29.0% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Orenburg II
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Orenburg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60