GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 4/13/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orenburg II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Orenburg II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Ural II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Orenburg II hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Second League - Group 4, while Orenburg II holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orenburg II

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Orenburg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orenburg IIWWDWD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Ural IIDDLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Orenburg IIUral II
46.7Attack51.7
46.7Defence31.7
38.3Form31.7
45.1Power39.2
2.08xG1.48
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