GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 8/6/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khimik Vurnary · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Orenburg II are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Khimik Vurnary are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Khimik Vurnary hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 65.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Second League - Group 4, while Khimik Vurnary holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khimik Vurnary

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Khimik Vurnary has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orenburg IIDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Khimik VurnaryDWDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Orenburg IIKhimik Vurnary
46.7Attack39.6
46.7Defence87.5
38.3Form64.6
45.1Power65.5
0.74xG1.23
View match centre →