GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 4/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orenburg II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Orenburg II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dinamo Barnaul are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Orenburg II hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 35.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Second League - Group 4, while Orenburg II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orenburg II

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Orenburg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orenburg IIWDDWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo BarnaulDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Orenburg IIDinamo Barnaul
46.7Attack41.7
46.7Defence21.7
38.3Form33.3
45.1Power35.1
2.41xG1.19
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