Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strogino · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orel 1-0 Strogino
Original prediction
Strogino
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Strogino
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Strogino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OrelWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
StroginoLLWWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
OrelStrogino
37.3Attack41.3
41.3Defence44.0
34.7Form37.3
39.5Power42.6
1.34xG1.34