Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ryazan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
13%
MediumconfidenceOrel are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Ryazan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ryazan hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely result in the Second League - Group 3, favouring Ryazan with 13.4% confidence, a 44% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ryazan
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
13.4%
Ryazan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OrelWLLLL
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
RyazanDWWLL
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
OrelRyazan
44.4Attack51.0
38.9Defence76.5
40.7Form54.9
42.8Power60.3
0.73xG1.79