Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orel · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Orel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rotor-2 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Orel hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 31.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Second League - Group 3, while Orel holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orel
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Orel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80