Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orel 2-1 Kvant
Original prediction
Orel
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Orel
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
9.9%
Orel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OrelLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
KvantLDWLL
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
OrelKvant
44.4Attack33.3
38.9Defence7.4
40.7Form11.1
42.8Power21.6
2.46xG1.05