Orelvs
Avangard Kursk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 5/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avangard Kursk · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Orel are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Avangard Kursk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Avangard Kursk hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Second League - Group 3, while Avangard Kursk holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avangard Kursk
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
14.1%
Avangard Kursk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00