Orebro SKvs
United Nordic
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
United Nordic · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orebro SK 1-1 United Nordic
Original prediction
United Nordic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 40.3% | 31.8% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.6% | 24.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 33.1% | 43.4% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
United Nordic
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
United Nordic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80