Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orebro SK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Orebro SK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sandviken are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Orebro SK hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (68.9 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Orebro SK holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orebro SK
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
8.9%
Orebro SK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00