Orebro SKvs
Ostersunds FK
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/7/2026, 5:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ostersunds FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Orebro SK 0-1 Ostersunds FK, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Orebro SK 0-1 Ostersunds FK
Original prediction
Ostersunds FK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 33.7% | 22.8% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.5% | 25.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 38.8% | 51.4% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.6 pts
Projected Score
Orebro SK 0–1 Ostersunds FK
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Ostersunds FK
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Ostersunds FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Orebro SKDWWDL
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Ostersunds FKDDWDW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Orebro SKOstersunds FK
33.3Attack47.6
47.6Defence63.5
31.7Form55.6
40.5Power57.9
0.74xG1.44