GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/9/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ostersunds FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Orebro SK are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ostersunds FK are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ostersunds FK hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the Superettan, while Ostersunds FK holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ostersunds FK

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

55.9%

Ostersunds FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orebro SKDDDWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Ostersunds FKDLDLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Orebro SKOstersunds FK
27.8Attack51.9
48.1Defence61.1
27.8Form59.3
37.6Power59.7
0.65xG1.58
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