Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norrby IF · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Orebro SK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Norrby IF are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Norrby IF hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Superettan, while Norrby IF holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Norrby IF
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Norrby IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40